Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.965069 2.142479 2.331588 2.548658 2.791540 3.055613 3.365362
2026-01-18 1.726212 1.972543 2.251055 2.591179 2.997906 3.471892 4.070767
2026-01-25 1.552557 1.835827 2.170301 2.598253 3.136853 3.799769 4.689271
2026-02-01 1.395277 1.693565 2.057747 2.541042 3.174604 3.989805 5.139643
2026-02-08 1.278971 1.586752 1.973260 2.502431 3.221071 4.182580 5.600860
2026-02-15 1.191409 1.506790 1.912818 2.484414 3.285858 4.397272 6.106551
2026-02-22 1.143657 1.473408 1.908280 2.537400 3.447845 4.756643 6.857055
2026-03-01 1.078639 1.411228 1.858774 2.521326 3.506420 4.967293 7.401170
2026-03-08 1.014126 1.344870 1.797903 2.482438 3.525175 5.115756 7.858437
2026-03-15 0.942713 1.264266 1.711268 2.398389 3.466741 5.136136 8.101618
2026-03-22 0.906971 1.231767 1.690871 2.410502 3.555988 5.396497 8.781821
2026-03-29 0.882209 1.213281 1.689127 2.449808 3.689881 5.740212 9.650710
2026-04-05 0.855998 1.191881 1.682663 2.482731 3.818662 6.092600 10.594516
2026-04-12 0.829453 1.168447 1.671553 2.507143 3.934889 6.434620 11.568776
2026-04-19 0.799912 1.138752 1.648785 2.510420 4.014204 6.717002 12.463793
2026-04-26 0.759143 1.089760 1.593032 2.454888 3.984938 6.794100 12.939384
2026-05-03 0.725591 1.050274 1.550078 2.417754 3.984887 6.925112 13.548047
2026-05-10 0.698704 1.019908 1.520029 2.400463 4.019086 7.124960 14.339255
2026-05-17 0.687645 1.013950 1.529021 2.451212 4.183615 7.600931 15.848086
2026-05-24 0.664121 0.986889 1.501788 2.435814 4.220280 7.817737 16.768644
2026-05-31 0.637897 0.954327 1.463778 2.398562 4.211155 7.936475 17.462418
2026-06-07 0.605189 0.909920 1.403891 2.318027 4.110352 7.847862 17.605437
2026-06-14 0.591072 0.895547 1.394328 2.329636 4.195440 8.175778 18.914824